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The Wall Street Waltz by Kenneth L. Fisher
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    • Product code: 9059
    • ISBN: 0931133041, ISBN13: 9780931133046, 210 pages, hardback
      Published by Business Classics, 1st edition, 1987
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    Description of The Wall Street Waltz

    Nothing has really changed on Wall Street over the years. In fact, much of what happens in the financial world today has been played over in history many times before and has been captured in the cycles and trends of financial charts created over time. Understanding the movements within these charts provides a clear perspective of today's markets and can aid you in your investment decisions tomorrow.

    Kenneth L. Fisher, one of America's leading investment managers and financial columnists has assembled 90 of the most revealing and provocative financial charts ever assembled in one volume. Many of the charts are snapshots of modern financial markets that show you how stocks relate to sales, earnings, dividends, cash flows, and assets. Others include turn-of-the-century originals, and new charts of even older events, like the 1720 South Sea Bubble. In each case, Fisher provides what he calls a visualisation in which he analyzes each chart according to its origin, historical significance, and most importantly, its relevance to today's market. For example, you will learn that:

    as a long term investment, the S&P 500 has traditionally outperformed bonds, treasury bills, and even real estate.

    Foreign stock exchanges often foreshadow movements in the American market, as was vividly illustrated before the great crash of 1929.

    Today's much-criticized national debt, when measured as a percentage of GNP, is actually less than it was 20 or even 30 years ago.

    The charts serve as a fascinating collection of portraits of financial history. You'll learn the timeless lessons of Wall Street and gain a new perspective of this highly orchestrated dance known as the Wall Street Waltz.

    Contents of The Wall Street Waltz

    PART ONE: STOCK MARKET VISUALIZATIONS

    1. Price/Earnings Ratios: Then and Now
    Dow Jones Industrials Price/Earnings Ratio, 1915-1986

    2. In Case You Didn't Get It The First Time
    The Stock Market vs Its P/E Ratio, 1871-1937

    3. Earning a Good Return in the Market
    The Long Term Tie Between Earnings and Stock Prices, 1926-1971

    4. Earnings Yields: Stocks Versus Bonds
    Earnings Yield on the S&P 500 vs Yield on High-Grade Corporate Bonds, 1946-1974

    5. Price/Dividend Ratios Provide Long-Term Vision
    Price/Dividend Ratios, 1920-1985

    6. Price-to-Book Ratios: Playing It By The Book
    The Market's Price-to-Book ratio, 1921-1986

    7. Price/Cash Flow Ratios: A Hidden Twist
    S&P 400 High Annual Price/Cash Flow ratio 1945-1986

    8. An Advertisement for Super Stocks and Forbes
    Sears, Roebuck & Company's Stock Price, 1926-1955

    9. Mr and Mrs Financial - Real Split Personalities
    Railroad Stocks and Bonds, 1860-1935

    10. Never a Timer Be: 56 Years of Stocks and Interest Rates
    Short-Term Interest rates vs the Stock Market, 1919-1978

    11. Value Line Industrial Composite: All the Stats That Are Fit to Print
    ValueLine Industrial Composite, 1970-1986

    12. Wealth Indexes for Classes of Securities, and The Winner Is . . .
    Wealth Indexes of Investments in the US Capital Markets, 1925-1985

    13. Invest Overseas and Diversify
    British Stocks vs Dow Jones Industrials, 1958-1977

    14. Stock Prices Abroad: Seven More Mirrors
    Stock indexes in Seven Countries, 1970-1980

    15. The 51st estate
    Canadian vs US Stock Prices, 1962-1971

    16. Stock prices Versus GNP
    Stock Market Indexes and Variations in GNP, 1955-1974

    17. The Premium Price of Growth
    Price/Earnings Multiples of Emerging Growth Stocks as a Percentage of the S&P 500 P/E, 1960-1986

    18. Growth Stock Gyrations
    Hambrecht & Quist Growth Index, Hambrecht & Quist Technology Index, Standard & Poor's 400, January 1970 to September 1986

    19. 'IPO' means It's Probably Overpriced
    Number of Initial Public Offerings, 1969-1985

    20. 'Wake Up Folks!'
    Stocks vs. Five Investment Alternatives, 1975-1985

    21. Takeover tactics in Relation to Assets
    Stocks, Inflation and Merger and Acquisitions Activity, 1968-1984

    22. The Silent Crash No One Noticed
    The Dow Jones Industrial Average as Adjusted for Inflation, 1920-1985

    23. Moving with the Moving Average
    The 40-week Moving Average of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, 1965-1977

    24. All the News That's Fit to Print
    Stock Prices vs. News Items, 1949-1977

    25. Stock Prices vs. Recessions
    Standard & Poor's Index of 500 Common Stocks and Cyclical Declines in the Economy, 1948-1977

    26. Nine Major Stock Market Cycles
    Long-Term DJIA Showing Bull and Bear Trendlines, 1929-1977

    27. Roaring Twenties Revisited?
    Comparison of Dow Jones Industrials of the 1920s vs. the 1980s

    28. Price/Earnings Ratios Can Be Deceiving
    Price/Earnings Ratio, 1928-1929

    29. A Clear Warning
    Stock Price Indexes, 1928-1929

    30. The Big Boys Don't Always Buy Cheap
    Mergers Record, 1919-1928

    31. Preferred Stocks Shouldn't Be
    Comparison of Industrial Common and Preferred Stocks, 1908-1932

    32. The 2 Per Cent Rule
    Tha Panic of 1907

    33. Remember What The Rich man Forgot
    The Average Market price of the 20 leading Railroad and 12 Leading Industrial Stocks and of the 5 Standard Bonds, 1896-1912

    34. Monthly railroad Prices, 1843-1862
    Indexes of rail Road Prices, Monthly, 1843-1862: index (8 Selected Stocks), 1843-1852; index IIc (18 Selected Stocks), 1953-1862; and All-Inclusive index, 1843-1862

    35. Financial Fluctuations in the 18th Century? You Can Bank On It!
    The Bank of England - Stock prices, 1732-1846

    36. Charting the South Seas
    The South Sea Bubble, December 1719 to October 1720

    37. 190 years of Stock Market Movements
    Annual Average Stock Prices, 1790-1980

    38. Do You Figure They Earned Their Keep?
    Annual rates of Return on Common Stocks, 1925-1976

    39. Two Ways to make a Million
    Two Examples of the Power of Compound Interest



    PART TWO: INTEREST RATES, COMMODITY PRICES, REAL ESTATE, AND INFLATION

    40. The Interest-Rate Shuffle
    Long-Term vs. Short-Term Interest rates, 1950-1975

    41. Long-Term Interest Rates: Four Countries in the World Economy

    42. There Seems to Be a Bond Between These Yields
    Bond Interest and Common Stock Yields of Four Countries, 1960-1980

    43. The Snake
    AA Bond rates Compared to the S&P 400 Earnings, 1960-1986

    44. Why The Interest in Oil?
    Yield on 20-Year Treasuries and Price of Crude Oil, 1973-1986

    45. High Interest Rates Have Been A Recurring Nightmare
    US Money rates, Prime Commercial Paper, 1841-1980

    46. 125 Years of Counsel of the Consols
    A Comparison of Yields on Consols and US Railroad Bonds, 1860-1980

    47. The Source of England's Stiff Upper Lip
    Long-Term Interest Rates, UK, 1731-1970

    48. When High is Low and Vice Versa
    Historical Record of Real Interest rates, 1790-1980

    49. Comparing Domestic and English Wholesale Prices
    Wholesale Prices in England vs. the United States, 1782-1930

    50. Prices in Southern England
    Price Index of Southern England, 1290-1950

    51. Wholesale Inflation
    Wholesale Prices: All Commodities - Yearly Averages, 1749-1980

    52. Inflation - The American Experience
    United States Consumer Price Index, 1790-1985

    53. Gold: The Litmus Test for Commodity Prices
    Prices, in Currency and Gold, of 40 basic Commodities in Different Countries

    54. Prices in Three Countries
    Retail Prices in Germany, England and the United States, 1860-1910

    55. A Lesson in Avoiding Wars
    Effect of Wars on US Wholesale Prices

    56. No Place to Go But Up?
    Commodity Prices, 1982-1986

    57. Long-Term Gold Holders Get the Cold Shoulder
    200 Years of American Gold Prices, 1781-1981

    58. The Long Cycle in Real Estate Activity
    Idealized 18 1/3-Year Real Estate Cycle, 1870-1955

    59. Rural Real Estate: The True Story
    Changes in Average Value of Farm Real Estate per Acre, 1981-1985

    60. And It Never Was, Either
    Trend in US Farm Real Estate Prices, 1919-1976

    61. US Housing Prices
    Single Family House Price Index, 1890-1980



    PART THREE: ANALYZING BUSINESS CYCLES, GOVERNMENT FINANCE, AND QUACKERY

    62. The One-Minute Economic Cheat Sheet
    American Business Activity, 1790-1986

    63. What Do You See in This Patter?
    Conspectus of Business Cycles in Various Countries. 1790-1925

    64. Unemployment and the 1 Per Cent Rule
    Unemployment Rate for Civilian Workers 1948-1983 (seasonally adjusted)

    65. Cars Crash, Too!
    New Auto sales, Domestic Type (excluding imports), 1945-1983

    66. Housing Starts: An Inverted Look
    Housing Starts and real Residential Fixed Investment, 1950-1979

    67. Breadlines in Britain
    English Unemployment, 1850-1914

    68. A Capital Spending Myth
    Expenditures for Business Plant and Equipment as a Percentage of the Privately Produced Gross National Product, 1900-1960

    69. South Africa Gold: How Important?
    Total World Gold Production, 1950-1983

    70. Is Labor Really Overpaid?
    Changes in the Equivalent of the Wage Rate of a Building Craftsman Expressed in a Composite Unit of Consumables in Southern England, 1264-1954

    71. Electricity Use and Economic growth
    Kilowatt-Hour Sales of the Electric Industry vs Gross National Product or Expenditure

    72. Crude Oil Supply: A Tale of Government Involvement
    Domestic and Imported Crude Oil Supply, 1950-1979

    73. Texans Weren't The First to Ride - The Learning Curve
    Accumulated Knowledge vs Costs, Electric Utility Industry, 1896-1912

    74. In the Know, or Heavily Snowed?
    Net Public Debt as a Percentage of GNP, 1930-1986

    75. Taxes, The Customs of Our Evolution
    Sources of Federal Revenue, 18783-1940

    76. Government Growth: The Big Picture
    Public Finance, 1790-1953

    77. State and Local Taxes on a Steady Course
    State and Local tax Sources, 1960-1979

    78. The States are Revolting
    Federal and State-Local Expenditures, 1954-1983

    79. You Can't Put a Number On It
    The Laffer Curve

    80. The Myth of Federal taxes
    Taxes and Spending and Their Relation to GNP, 1965-1987

    81. Balancing the Budget with Hot Air
    Federal Income Taxes, 1909-1987

    82. Uncle 'Fat Cat' Sam's Real Estate Scam
    Approximate Area of Federal Lands in the United States, 1781-1960

    83. Defense Expenditures and the GNP
    Defense Budget as a Percentage of GNP, 1945-1986

    84. The Economic Cycle Economists Deny
    The Kondratieff Wave, 1780-1986

    85. Sunspots
    Sunspots, 1755-1978

    86. Bear Markets vs Bare Knees
    The Hemline Indicator, 1897-1986

    87. Don't Buy Nuttin' What Eats
    Average Thoroughbred Yearling Prices Compared to Dow Jones Industrials Yearly Close, 1970-1980

    88. Wall Street Witch Doctors
    Exponential Upsweep of Dow Industrials, 1926-1962+

    89. Flukes of Nature and Finance
    The 9.6 Year Cycle of Acreage of Wheat Harvested, 1860-1970

    90. Don't Lose Your Hide in the Market
    Cycles of Hide and Leather Prices


    CONCLUSION

    APPENDIX: Myths to Frighten Children

    INDEX






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