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The Intelligent Speculator by Ralph Fessenden
John McDivitt
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    • Product code: 3684
    • ISBN: 0786308397, ISBN13: 9780786308392, 171 pages, hardback
      Published by Irwin on 1996
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    Description of The Intelligent Speculator

    Without knowledge, trading commodities is just like gambling. Eventually, most go-for-broke commodity speculators will make one too many wrong calls and go broke. While gambling is more exciting, what is instead required to consistently profit from all the market conditions is knowledge, confidence in one's chosen system and, most importantly, market intelligence.

    The Intelligent Speculator: A Unique Approach to Trading Commodities introduces and explains interval trading, a unique system of commodity speculation which blends the widely accepted trading and oscillatory (sideways) techniques. Interval trading allows you to choose a point somewhere near the bottom, regardless of the side. Since you are required to precisely predict neither market tops nor bottoms, nor when they will occur, you can be confident that the next price rise will be locked in.

    Readers with little or no experience trading commodities will welcome the detailed explanation of the mechanics of commodity trading, while seasoned traders will move directly to descriptions of interval trading and its techniques, including real-market examples of the profitable results of interval trading on a number of commodities. Additional chapters on drawdown, rollovers, and the 'sell-buy' system further illustrate how you can provide more profits at lower risk by bridging the gap between sideways and trend-following methods.

    Don't miss the next profitable price run just because you couldn't predict the bottom. Read The Intelligent Speculator, gain a keener insight into the complexities of the commodity market, and through thoughtful and intelligent speculation as opposed to brash and emotional speculation, begin today to profit every day from interval trading in the commodity market.

    Contents of The Intelligent Speculator

    1: Speculating in Commodities
    Risk and Speculation
    Trading Systems
    Commodities to Trade
    Interval Trading versus Scale Trading

    2: The Mechanics of Commodity Speculation
    The Contract Markets
    Your Account and Margin
    Commodity Futures Are Highly Leveraged Investments
    Where to Get Commodity Prices
    How to Read Price Quotations
    Charts - The Graphical Presentation of Commodity Prices
    Natural Movement of Commodity Prices
    Predicting Commodity Price Movements
    The Basic Trading Strategies - Going Long and Going Short

    3: Interval Trading: An Introduction
    The Price of a Major Commodity Will Not Go to Zero
    Interval Trading - The Basic Idea
    Application of an Interval Table to a Real Market
    Drawdown
    Oscillation Profits
    Is Interval Trading the Same as Averaging Down?

    4: Drawdown
    Margin
    Drawdown
    Calculation of the Drawdown
    Drawdown Depends upon the Interval

    5: The Principal Variables in Interval Trading
    The Upper Trading Level Defined
    The Optimum Upper Trading Level
    The Upper Trading Level: Historical Analysis
    Upper Trading Level: Final Adjustment
    Selecting the Interval

    6: Rollovers
    An Example of Rollovers
    How to Handle Rollovers
    Overview of Rollover Strategy
    An Immediate Rollover of a Single Contract
    An Immediate Rollover of Multiple Contracts
    Deferred Rollovers

    7: The Sell-Buy: More Profits at Lower Risk
    The Sell-Buy Strategy
    Why Sell Then Buy? Why Not Just Hold?
    Further Consideration of the Sell-Buy Strategy
    Summary of the Sell-Buy System of Interval Trading
    Practical Aspects of Interval Trading

    8: What Can Go Wrong?
    How You Can Lose Money in Interval Trading
    Don't Start Interval Trading at Too High a Price
    Don't Bunch Your Trades Near the Upper Level of Trading
    Don't Use Too Small and Interval
    Imprudent Rollovers

    9: Brokers, Pool Operators, Trading Advisors, and Money Management
    Commodity Brokers
    Commodity Pool Operators (CPO)
    Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA)
    Managed Money and Portfolio Diversification

    10: Examples of Interval-Traded Markets
    Summary of Results
    Orange Juice
    Wheat
    Crude Oil
    Gold
    Live Hogs

    11: Intelligent Commodity Speculation
    Adequate Capital
    Diversification
    Interval Trading


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