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- Product code: 19625
- ISBN: 0932750575,
ISBN13: 9780932750570,
952 pages, Box set
Published by New Classics Library, 2003
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Rating: 3.5/5 (2 votes cast)
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Description of Socionomics |
Why do trends in human society sometimes change so suddenly?
The past three years show how quickly cultural shifts can occur, which makes answering the question above all the more urgent. In 1999, we were celebrating our heroes, the stock market had reached unprecedented heights - and many people believed that peace in the Middle East was at hand.
Three years later, the economy is weak, corporate executives are being thrown in jail, bloodletting between Israelis and Palestinians is daily ritual, India is testing missiles, North Korea is threatening the U.S. with nuclear destruction, the U.S. is at war with Iraq, European allies are deserting the U.S., a senator is calling for the resignation of the chairman of the Federal Reserve, and Americans are stocking supplies for terrorist attacks.
What changed? And why?
Is it possible that all of these events flow from the same cause?
In Socionomics: The Science of History and Social Prediction, Robert Prechter spells a historical correlation between patterned shifts in social mood and their most sensitive register, the stock market. He also presents engaging studies correlating social mood trends to music, sports, corporate culture, peace, war and macroeconomic trends.
The new science of socionomics takes hundreds of popular notions about mass psychology, culture and the stock market and stands them on their heads.
Socionomics: The Science of History and Social Prediction includes a 2nd edition of the book that started it all, The Wave Principle of Human Social Behavior and the New Science of Socionomics as well as his new title, Pioneering Studies in Socionomics, an accessible collection of the essays that founded a new basis for social science.
Together, these books can transform your understanding of how our society works. It will change the way you read the newspaper. It will even show you how to predict news trends months in advance. Learn for yourself the science of social prediction.
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Contents of Socionomics |
PIONEERING STUDIES IN SOCIONOMICS
Foreword: A Socionomic Manifesto
Popular Culture
What's Going On?
Popular Culture and the Stock Market
Reflections of Social Mood in Religion
A Socionomic Study of Restaurants
Broadstreet
Social Causality
Socionomics in a Nutshell
A Socionomic View of Demographic Trends (or) Stocks & Sex
Rationalizing Optimism with Demographics
A Socionomic View of Central-Bank Causality
Sports
An Elliott Wave in Olympic Participation
A Historic Extreme in Baseball Emotions
Sports, Markets and Forecasting
Basketball and the Bull Market
Fibonacci Glory Days for Sports Heroes
Another Home-Run Year
Pro Wrestling and the Bull Market
Top Tick for Basketball
Evidence of a Major Downturn in Social Mood: Plummeting
Interest in Ballgames
Elliott Wave Analysis: Baseball Stadiums Now a Risky Investment
Corporations, Legislation and Social Conflict
A Dow-Stock Case Study: Coca-Cola
Is the Break in the Big Brand Names a Warning for the Overall Market?
A Socionomic Perspective on the Microsoft Case
New Assault on U.S. Corporations Confirms Microsoft Sell Signal
The Land of Flint and Steel
Elliott Waves and Social Reality
World Peace, World War, Fibonacci and Elliott
The Socionomic Insight vs. the Assumption of Event Causality
Challenging the Conventional Assumption About the Presumed
Sociological Effect of Terrorist News
The Timing and Character of Investment Legislation
Toward a Revolution in Macroeconomics
Predicting Economic and Monetary Trends
Toward a New Understanding of Growth and Recession,
Boom and Depression
Science and the Wave Principle
The Fractal Design of Social Progress
Science is Validating the Concept of the Wave Principle
Science is Revealing the Mechanism of the Wave Principle
Another Indication of Possible Elliott Wave Tendencies in Physical Phenomena
Another Example of a Link Between Nature's Trees and Waves
Controversy and Validation
Controversy�and Affirmation
Fractals and Finance
Credit Where It Is Due
Reply and Response
Letters to the Editor of Scientific American
Following Up in 2002
Socionomics and Quantum Physics
Parallel Revolutions in the Physical and Social Sciences
Miscellaneous Articles, Letters, Speeches and Observations
Evidence of the Wave Principle in Human Emotional Biorhythms
A Socionomist Looks at Bankruptcies
Seminar Speaker Summary
Challenging Another Myth of Market Rationality
Why Teenagers Lead Fads of Social Expression
Response to a Question from a Renowned Scientist
Letter to a Curious Objectivist
Contrasting Three Styles of Financial Analysis
Miscellaneous Observations
A Craftsman's View
Book Review: The Wave Principle of Human Social Behavior and the New Science of Socionomics
A New Paradigm
Why Socionomics Will Be a Tough Sell to the Entrenched
Majority of Professionals
On the Outlook for Socionomics
Appendix: Toward Quantifying Sociometers Other
Than the Stock Market
Quantifying Social Mood in Popular Song Lyrics
An Investigation of Achievement Motive Level as Expressed in the Musical Art Forms Appreciated by Today's Youth, and Implications
Quantifying Pessimistic Rumination in Popular Song
Quantifying Social Mood by Polling
THE WAVE PRINCIPLE OF HUMAN SOCIAL BEHAVIOR
Foreword
PART I: An Introduction to the Idea of the Wave Principle
1. Basic Tenets of the Wave Principle
2. Universal Forms: Fractals, Power Laws and Spirals in Self-Organizing Systems, and Their Connection to the Wave Principle
3. Robust Fractals and Fibonacci Mathematics
PART II: Validating the Wave Principle by its Own Operation
4. Modeling and Quantification Support the Validity of the Wave Principle
5. Forecasting Pattern on the Basis of Pattern
6. Forecasting Price Extremes on the Basis of Typical Wave Relationships
7. Relating Aspects of Market Behavior to Wave Degrees
PART III: The Basis of the Wave Principle in Biology, Psychology and Sociology
8. Unconscious Herding Behavior as the Psychological Basis of the Wave Principle
9. Theories and Observations Relating to Impulsivity and Herding
10. Biological Connections to the Robust Fractal Aspect of the Wave Principle
11. Biological and Perceptual Connections to the Fibonacci Foundation of the Wave Principle
12. Mentational Connections to the Fibonacci Foundation of the Wave Principle
13. From Long Waves to Rapid Vibration: The Motor of Life?
PART IV: An Introduction to Socionomics
14. Components of Mood
15. Popular Cultural Trends as Manifestations of Social Mood Trends
16. Historical Impulsion: Events that Result from Social Mood Trends
17. Forecasting Success Supports the Validity of Socionomics
18. Thinking Socionomically
PART V: Further Afield
19. Problems with Conventional Approaches to Financial Markets, and Their Solution in Socionomics
20. Some Key Fundamentals of Socionomics
21. The Kitchen Sink: Linking Physics to the Human Social Experience, A Principle Behind Ordered Complexity, Hints of Robust Fractals in the Heavens, the Fibonacci Foundation of Robust Forms, and Phimation as an Opposing Principle to Entropy
Sources
Index
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About Robert Prechter |
Prechter graduated from Yale in 1971 and worked as a Technical Market Specialist at Merrill Lynch in New York in the 1970s. In 1978, he co-authored, with A.J. Frost, Elliott Wave Principle - Key To Market Behavior, in 1979 he founded Elliott Wave International and in 2002 founded The Socionomics Institute. During the 1980s, Prechter won numerous awards for market timing as well as the United States Trading Championship, culminating in Financial News Network (now CNBC) granting him the title, "Guru of the Decade." He has served on the board of The Foundation for the Study of Cycles and the Market Technicians Association, including a term as president on 1990-1991. Prechter has written 12 books.
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