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- Product code: 10864
- ISBN: 0333736443,
ISBN13: 9780333736449,
448 pages, hardback
Published by Palgrave MacMillan on 1999
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Rating: 5.0/5 (1 vote cast)
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Description of Exchange Rate Forecasting |
Forecasting exchange rates is a variable that preoccupies economists, businesses and governments, being more critical to more people than any other variable. Here, the author sets out to provide a concise survey of the techniques of forecasting, bringing together the various forecasting methods and applying them to the exchange rate. Practical in approach, the guide provides an understanding of the techniques of forecasting with an emphasis on its applications and use in business decision making, such as hedging, speculation, investment, financing and capital budgeting. In addition, the author also considers developments in the field, notably neural networks and chaos, with explanations of these "rocket science" areas. The practical approach to forecasting is also reflected in the number of examples that pepper the text, whilst descriptions of some of the software packages that are used in practice to generate forecasts are also provided.
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Contents of Exchange Rate Forecasting |
Expectations and Forecasting: An Overview
Exchange Rate Forecasting as an Input in the Decision-Making Process
Univariate Time Series Techniques
Multivariate Time Series Models
Market-Based Forecasting: The Spot and Forward Exchange Rates
Judgmental and Composite Forecasting
Technical Analysis
Trading Rules
Recent Developments: Neural Networks and Chaos
Measuring Forecasting Accuracy
Selection, Implementation and Monitoring of Forecasts
Case Studies
Concluding Remarks
References
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About Imad A. Moosa |
IMAD MOOSA is currently Associate Professor in Economics and Finance at La Trobe University, Australia, prior to which he lectured at the University of Sheffield, UK. Before entering academia, he worked as a professional economist and investment banker for over ten years.
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