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Fractal Market Analysis by Edgar Peters
  • Fractal Market Analysis

  • Applying Chaos Theory to Investment & Economics

  • by Edgar Peters
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    • Product code: 0949
    • ISBN: 0471585246, ISBN13: 9780471585244, 332 pages, hardback
      Published by John Wiley & Sons on 1994
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    Description of Fractal Market Analysis

    Strongly applications-oriented, Fractal Market Analysis replaces conventional capital market theory with a more realistic way of accessing the randomness and determinism that characterizes today's stock, bond, and commodities markets.

    By using fractals and rescaled range plus nonlinear dynamic models, Peters explains turbulent market behavior, offers fresh insights into risk and volatility, and demystifies price and market movements. Whatever your trading and investment goals, Fractal Market Analysis delivers the realistic economic and mathematical structure you need to enhance your asset valuation and portfolio selection strategies. You'll discover:

    - How chaos theory explains and predicts such market 'anomalies' as stampedes, panics, and crashes
    - How to apply the power and precision of rescaled range analysis to your specific areas of interest
    - How to determine and model the number and length of both periodic and non periodic market and economic cycles.

    In his first book, Peters hinted at the financial rewards to be gained by using the science of chaos to understand the capital markets. Now the premier author on the subject shows traders and investors how to apply chaos for capturing those very real and sizeable rewards.

    Reviews

    "The bible of market chaologists."
    - Business Week

    "At last - Ed Peters has written a first-class summary suitable for any investment professional or skilled investor."
    - Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities Magazine

    "It ranks among the most provocative financial books of the past few years. Reading this book will provide a generous payback on the time and mental energy expended."
    - Financial Analysts Journal

    Contents of Fractal Market Analysis

    Part One: Fractal Time Series

    1. Introduction to Fractal Time Series
    2. Failure to the Gaussian Hypothesis
    3. A Fractal Market Hypothesis

    Part Two: Fractal R/S analysis

    4. Measuring Memory - The Hurst Process and R/S Analysis
    5. Testing R/S Analysis
    6. Finding Cycles: Periodic and Non periodic

    Part Three: Applying Fractal Analysis

    7. Case Study Methodology
    8. Dow Jones Industrials, 1888-1990: An Ideal Data Set
    9. S&P 500 Tick Data, 1989-1992: Problems with Oversampling
    10. Volatility: A Study in Anti-persistence
    11. Problems with Undersampling: Gol and U.K. Inflation
    12. Currencies: A True Hurst Process

    Part Four: Fractal Noise

    13. Fractional Noise and R/S Analysis
    14. Fractal Statistics
    15. Applying Fractal Statistics

    Part Five: Noisy Chaos

    16. Noisy Chaos and R/S Analysis
    17. Fractal Statistics, Noisy chaos, and the FMH
    18. Understanding Markets

    Appendix 1: The Chaos Game
    Appendix 2: GAUSS Programs
    Appendix 3: Fractal Distribution Tables

    Bibliography
    Glossary
    Index


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